The Commissioner's Corner - Week 12

League News

The league sees 7 teams separated by just 8 games while Adrian sinks further into the hopeless abyss.

Milestones and Historical Perspective

TJ's 6-4 victory over Ben marked his 10th straight week without a loss.  To put that in historical perspective, that's the 4th longest such streak in the 11 recorded years of the Diamond Dynasty (weekly stats not available on Yahoo! until 2004).  Here's a look at the longest streaks in league history:

	Manager		Length	Year
Longest win streak
	1)	Jarrett	10 weeks	2014
	2)	Richie	9 weeks	2014
	3)	Drew	8 weeks	2011
	3)	Kurt	8 weeks	2008
Longest lossless streak
	1)	Jarrett	16 weeks	2014
	2)	James	13 weeks	2013
	2)	Kurt	13 weeks	2012
	4)	TJ	10 weeks	2015
Longest winless streak
	T1)	Adrian	13 weeks	2010
	T1)	Drew	13 weeks	2013
	3)	Paul	10 weeks	2004
Lonest losing streak
	1)	Adrian	13 weeks	2010
	2)	Drew	8 weeks	2013
	T3)	Colin	7 weeks	2005
	T3)	James	7 weeks	2011

Hey, look at this!

This is our brand new segment called "Hey, look at this!" where I find mildly interesting stats and present them to you in a way that may or may not mildly interest you.

I was pulling up my Luck Calculator to run another check on the luck we've all been either enjoying or missing, and I realized - I screwed up.  

I was looking specifically at Tim, ready to put him on blast in this week's TCC (He's really skated through the first half of his inaugural year, wouldn't you agree?)  I had him pegged as the luckiest team in the league, playing well over his head.  But when I looked at the league totals again, he was consistently in the top 5.  It didn't make sense.

Then it hit me:  For 8 of our 10 categories, you want to be above the league average.  For ERA and WHIP, you want to be below (or so I'm told).  I didn't catch it the first time around and while the numbers were close, they weren't correct.  So here's an updated, accurate look at our luck through week 11 (sorted luckiest to unluckiest): 

Manager	Proj. W%	Act W%	Variance
Jarrett	0.463	0.532	0.069
James	0.428	0.459	0.031
Tim	0.483	0.509	0.026
Colin	0.618	0.641	0.023
Ben	0.441	0.464	0.023
Richie	0.486	0.500	0.014
Adrian	0.357	0.350	-0.007
Alex	0.517	0.473	-0.044
Kurt	0.567	0.505	-0.062
TJ	0.640	0.568	-0.072

Jarrett is the luckiest team in the DD this season.  He's caught a lot of teams at the right time and his actual winning percentage is way above what you'd expect based on his team stats.  With the adjustment, Tim is still on the lucky side but he doesn't deserve as much shit as I was going to shovel his way.  Still, fuck you Tim.  You should be killing all of us.

Amazingly, Kurt and TJ have been terribly unlucky to this point and have still managed to spend most of this season in the early playoff picture .  Check out TJ's projected winning percentage!  If he played an average team every week, he would be on pace for the second-best winning percentage in the history of the DD!  

Incentives

WWE Belt

Payouts: $50 at the All-Star Break (week 15), $75 at the end of the regular season

Belt holder:  Another week, another narrow victory for TJ.  The 6-4 win over Ben pushed belt holders' retention percentage over .700 in the short history of the incentive.  

If I'm correct, and I rarely am, Ben and Tim are the first teams eliminated from a chance at the All-Star Break payout.

Shutout Pool
Week 11 pot: $30

No one was close.  Pot grows to it's highest mark in 2015.

Neighborhood Rumble

Payouts:  $25 to the Islington and Westwood champion, $50 to the Tournament champ

Dates: Week 16ish – talk to Kurt for more details.