Here's how 2016 is shaping up:
Name
Adrian |
Alex |
Ben |
Colin |
James |
Jarrett |
Kurt |
Richie |
Tim |
TJ |
Adrian edges out Alex in the name department with a "tie-breaker" of sorts, as we had to actually go to the second letter to determine who was first place. Nice job Adrian. Conversely, TJ sits in the basement thanks to his nickname. If he just would have dropped the Jr, he could have at least tied for last. Questionable managerial decisions there.
Core 4 projections (based on Yahoo Preseason rank)
Core 4 | |
Colin | 11 |
Jarrett | 12 |
Alex | 18 |
Kurt | 24 |
TJ | 25 |
Ben | 26 |
Richie | 27 |
Adrian | 32 |
Tim | 34 |
James | 53 |
Colin edges out Jarrett in average Core 4 preseason ranks, highlighted by the usual suspects. Jarrett and Alex join him in the top tier, and everyone except James basically falls into tier #2.
Core 4 projections with Flex (based on Yahoo Preseason rank)
Core 4 | w Flx | |
Jarrett | 12 | 16 |
Colin | 11 | 18 |
Kurt | 24 | 30 |
TJ | 25 | 32 |
Tim | 34 | 34 |
Alex | 18 | 35 |
Richie | 27 | 41 |
James | 53 | 44 |
Ben | 26 | 47 |
Adrian | 32 | 51 |
When adding the flex picks, Jarrett's average preseason rank jumps to #1 thanks to Jose Fernandez. Colin stays close behind with Cubs sensation Kyle Schwarber, and the rest of the league is pretty evenly spread out from there. Interestingly enough, James is the only team to experience an increase in average preseason rank with the addition of his flex keeper, an effect of having both the lowest average core keeper rank and flexing stud-to-be Carlos Correa, who has the highest preseason rank for all flex-eligible players.
Flex pick
Core 4 | w Flx | Flx Pk | |
TJ | 25 | 32 | 88 |
Jarrett | 12 | 16 | 90 |
Tim | 34 | 34 | 100 |
Kurt | 24 | 30 | 129 |
Richie | 27 | 41 | 255 |
Colin | 11 | 18 | LAST |
Alex | 18 | 35 | LAST |
Ben | 26 | 47 | LAST |
Adrian | 32 | 51 | LAST |
James | 53 | 44 | LAST |
Half of the league maxed out the Flex keeper option with 5 managers sacrificing a last round pick, and Richie was nearly there. TJ's flex was the most expensive, giving up his 9th round pick (88th overall) for Carlos Carrasco. He only owed his 10th round pick but no longer owns it.
Average Draft Pick
Core 4 | w Flx | Flx Pk | Avg Pk | |
Alex | 18 | 35 | LAST | 114 |
Ben | 26 | 47 | LAST | 121 |
Colin | 11 | 18 | LAST | 145 |
Tim | 34 | 34 | 100 | 150 |
Jarrett | 12 | 16 | 90 | 151 |
Adrian | 32 | 51 | LAST | 159 |
James | 53 | 44 | LAST | 162 |
Kurt | 24 | 30 | 129 | 163 |
TJ | 25 | 32 | 88 | 168 |
Richie | 27 | 41 | 255 | 174 |
And finally, Alex leads the pack with draft picks. Ben is the only one who comes close, with two picks in the first round and picks #96, #99, #102, and #104. On the other end of the spectrum, Richie will not make a pick until 34 picks are off the board - the longest stretch of anyone this year.
But it's not all doom and gloom - far from it. Here's what last year looked like:
1. Ben - 16 points |
2. Colin - 15 points |
3. Tim - 14 points |
4. James - 11 points |
4. Kurt - 11 points |
4. TJ - 11 points |
7, Jarrett - 10 points |
8. Alex - 8 points |
9. Richie - 7 points |
10. Adrian - 5 points |
Statistically, Ben looked to have the most promising mix of average draft position and keepers but missed the playoffs entirely. Last year's champion projected to miss the playoffs. And Adrian....well we all knew he was going to be bad (sorry Adrian).
This season, Alex has a top-tier core four, a last round flex, and the best draft board. I think we can all agree that anything less than breaking Ben's 144-win record is a failure for Alex. Oh by the way, remember last year when we all thought TJ was a lock to make the playoffs?
TJ | |
41 | Jacoby Elsbury |
42 | Yu Darwish |
Stay frosty big guy.
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