Bovada's DD odds?

Here's some weird stuff I found on Bovada this morning:

A little further down....

What's a franchise worth?

We saw Tim take over a franchise in the offseason, but what is that franchise worth?  Here's a stupid way to place a value on the current state of each team:  The players they have and the draft picks they own.  These are the cold hard facts - no opinions:

Average Keeper by O-Rank

Colin (10 pts)	14
Ben (9 pts)	15
Jarrett (8 pts)	21
Richie (7 pts)	22
Alex (6 pts)	30
James (5 pts)	38
Tim (4 pts)	41
Kurt (3 pts)	50
TJ (2 pts)	55
Adrian (1 pt)	55

Average Draft Pick number

Tim (10 pts)	124
TJ (9 pts)	126
Kurt (8 pts)	136
Ben (7 pts)	151
James (6 pts)	153
Colin (5 pts)	156
Adrian (4 pts)	157
Alex (3 pts)	160
Jarrett (2 pts)	162
Richie (1 pt)	181

2015 outlook:

1. Ben - 16 points

2. Colin - 15 points

3. Tim - 14 points

4. James - 11 points

4. Kurt - 11 points

4. TJ - 11 points

7, Jarrett - 10 points

8. Alex - 8 points

9. Richie - 7 points

10. Adrian - 5 points

Link to the Draft Board

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1MkYV-lrjXcgGdvk6av4kqqLAyYxYpkMmngh7eXQFZFM/edit?usp=sharing

2015 keepers

Alex:
Andrew McCutchen
Giancarlo Stanton
Stephen Strasburg
Hanley Ramirez
Gerrit Cole (Flex)

Adrian:
Adrian Beltre
David Ortiz
Jose Reyes
Johnny Cuteo
Tyson Ross (Flex)

Ben:
Edwin Encarnacion
Robinson Cano
Anthony Rizzo
Max Scherzer
Michael Brantley (Flex)

Colin:
Mike Trout
Miguel Cabrera
Chris Sale
Ryan Braun
Jose Altuve (Flex)

James:
Adam Jones
Troy Tulowitzki
Adrian Gonzalez
Starling Marte
Dee Gordon (Flex)

Jarrett:
Paul Goldschmidt
Clayton Kershaw
Madison Bumgarner
Billy Hamilton
Ian Desmond (Flex)

Kurt:
Bryce Harper
Carlos Gonzalez
Julio Teheran
Sonny Gray
Anthony Rendon (Flex)

Richie:
Carlos Gomez
Felix Hernandez
Jose Abreu
George Springer
Corey Kluber (Flex)

Tim:
Adam Wainwright
David Price
Buster Posey
Yasiel Puig
Charlie Blackmon (Flex)

TJ:
Jose Bautista
Justin Upton
Freddie Freeman
Matt Harvey
Garrett Richards (Flex)

Three important messages

This Felix for Strasburg and Hanley trade made me think back to another trade involving the same two managers and one common player almost two years ago. Looking back on that trade and my analysis, here’s what I gathered:  

1. I’ve been100% correct so far about the Felix/Wright trade on May 26, 2013. Let’s look at the numbers from May 27 until the end of last season.

Wright

2013

May 27 on… 83-269, .309, 11 HR, 31 RBI

2014

144-535, .269, 8 HR, 63 RBI (Dropped by Richie midseason)

Felix

2013

May 27 on…129 IP 50 ER, 3.49 ERA, 135 K

2014

236 IP, 56 ER, 2.14 ERA (career low), 248 K (career high)

2. I apologize to Richie for such a strong criticism of the move. I was speaking (or in this case writing) irrationally thanks to prior events that led up to the trade and was admittedly a little heated. In the future, no comments directed at a manager regarding a player acquisition will be nearly as harsh or offensive.                        

3. Turns out the trade didn’t actually negatively affect Richie in any way. Despite keeping Wright and then dropping him midseason, Richie still had an insane lineup and obviously went on to win the title. Imagine if he had Felix last year I guess? Oh well, he just got him back so hopefully for Richie’s sake he continues his dominance and doesn’t make me look like a fool.