Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Weekly Matchups - Week 19

Week 19's installment of the DDWPIPOTCFFBE (Diamond Dynasty Weekly Preview In Pursuit Of The Chalice For Fantasy Baseball Excellence)

Last week – Colin wins big to launch himself back into the thick of the playoff race and James takes over first place while keeping his unbeaten streak alive.

Strength of Schedule (remainder of regular season)

1. Jarrett - .559
2. Richie - .531
3. Colin - .510
4. Kurt - .508
5. Ben - .503
6. Adrian - .501
7. Drew - .482
8. TJ - .478
9. Alex - .473
10. James - .454

Sleepy's® "Snoozer of the Week" – Richie (10th) vs Drew (9th)

This is that mid-September game when San Diego visits Miami and there are 1,245 people in attendance. Except worse. Three clear tiers have formed (as it does seemingly every year) and these two lovebirds have been kickin' it in the basement all season long. They are now in a virtual tie for last place, although Richie has finally slid behind Drew in the standings for the first time since week 6. Richie lost 8-1 last week behind just a terrible week all around. Offense and Defense were equally unimpressive and he very well could have gotten shutout, as the score was 9-0 for the majority of the week. I just pulled up Drew's match-up with Ben (6-3 loss) for the first time and my jaw almost dropped off my skull. After boasting one of the worst offensive seasons (if not the worst) this year, he put up arguably the best single week of the season. I should have been keeping track of these things, but I think his 56 RBI and .343 average might be the high water marks of the season. He got homeruns from everyone in his lineup except Marco Scutaro, and he had two guys go deep thrice. The pitching wasn't awful from a stat perspective, but he failed to win a pitching category against Ben. Richie's strength of schedule would suggest that he is the favorite for the 2013 Paul French Award but we've all seen what Drew can do. These teams have tied 5-5 in their two previous meetings.

(season series 10-10)

Dell's® "Dull Duel" – Colin (7th) vs Adrian (8th)

On the brink of playoff extinction, Colin roared back to take an 8-1 victory over the floundering Travers last week. The win jumped him up to 7th and he is now just two games out of a playoff spot. Mariano Rivera (Richie) blew three saves in a row for the first time in his storied career, and two of them came (one of them directly, on e of them indirectly) from the bat of Miguel Cabrera (Colin). The saves category ended in a 5-5 tie. Cabrera finished with 4 home runs and 11 RBI for the week, and somehow has a shot at winning back to back triple crowns (first in AVG and RBI, second in HR). Mike Trout was a 5 category-filler as always with a 5/2/6/3/.350 slash line. Colin has a difficult road ahead with the third most difficult schedule the rest of the way, and his last 3 games are against current playoff teams. Adrian has a slightly easier schedule to end the season, but he is really scuffling at the worst possible time. He's 0-3-1 over the last month and has fallen 4.5 games out of the final playoff spot. He earned a respectable 5-5 tie last week against James but probably feels a little cheated after a poor Sunday performance cost him a chance at a win. Adrian closes with top-tier teams TJ and Alex so he'll have to take care of business this week and next, when he takes on Drew. These guys have split the season series 1-1 but Colin has a slight edge in the records.

(season series Colin 10-9)

The Average Match of the Week presented by Not Your Average Joe's – James (1st) vs Kurt (5th)

We move into the first of two match-ups that can have implications on both the bye and playoff races but first, let's take a moment to give James some respect as the new leader of the DD. The unbeaten streak is up to 12 (Kurt, record check?) and, with by far the easiest schedule the rest of the way he is poised to capture the regular season crown. This is the last week he'll face a top 5 opponent, and one of the last two weeks he'll face a (current) playoff opponent. As previously mentioned, James stole a tie last week against Adrian thanks to solid weekend play. He outscored Adrian by 8 RBI's on Sunday to give him a 1-RBI win, and his 2 saves gave him a 4-3 edge for the 5-5 tie. He draws Kurt this week, who's faded back to the middle of the pack after making a push for the top-tier group. He dropped an important 5-2 decision last week to Jarrett which featured some skittish offense (3 homers) but good pitching. Newly acquired Shelby Miller got two pitches into his first start with Kurt before taking a line drive off the elbow and exiting the game, which probably cost Kurt K's (84-81) and possibly wins (3-3). Like Adrian, Kurt is fading at a bad time. He's lost three of four and his playoff cushion is down to 6 games. With TJ looming in the last week of the regular season and James this week, he'll have to try to hold the fort against those two and solidify his playoff spot against Colin and Drew. Another even match-up here as these guys have split the season series as well.

(season series 10-10)

The Post-It® "Noteworthy Match-up" – Alex (4th) vs Jarrett (6th)

The second game that impacts both races is between Alex and Jarrett. While Shelby Miller didn't come back to haunt Staaf, Miller's compensation (Buster Posey) was equally bad, mustering only 1 RBI and a .105 average. But Staaf's staff came through again, racking up a 4-0-1 record on defense. Jarrett's played well as of late, going 3-2 in the last 5 weeks and playing at a .560 clip. But Alex is the best team that he's played since week 12 (Ben, an 8-0 loss) and his difficulty with good teams is well documented. To close the season Jarrett has to play three of the top four teams (James and Ben after this week) before closing with Colin. He has the 6th spot now but by September he could be on the outside looking in. His opponent this week is one of the hottest teams going as Gentilli has a 5-1-1 record in his last 7 contests (and the only loss was a 6-4 decision in week 14 against Kurt). This excellent play has unexpectedly catapulted him into the bye week discussion. Don't get me wrong – Alex was my pre-season pick to win it all and I'm sticking to it, but I didn't think he really had a shot at a bye. At only 4.5 games out of second and the second-easiest schedule to end the year, Gentilli fans everywhere are going crazy. Alex has taken care of business against Jarrett this year, winning both matches.

P.S. - How bad does that 10-0 week 2 loss to Ben suck for Alex right now

(season series Alex 13-7)

Diamond Strike Anywhere Matches® "Match-Up of the Week" – TJ (2nd) vs Ben (3rd)

TJ plays Ben in the first match-up of 100 game winners this year. After trading off first place virtually all year, this will be the first week in months where one of these two fine gentlemen do not hold the top spot. TJ lost 6-3 last week to Alex in a close battle. He fell short by just 1 win and 2 runs, and the ratios were fairly close. The loss broke a 3 week winning streak for Geers, who is just 1 game behind James for first place. Ben is right on his heels at 2 GB following a 6-3 barn-buster win against Drew where every single starter going deep at least once (!). The hero was old friend Justin Concustin' Morneau, who went deep 4 times and drove in 10. His 4 homers this week were almost half of his homers for the season before this week (because he has 14 now, so that means he had 10 before he hit the 4 this week, and 5 is half of 10, and 4 is almost but not quite 5....my head hurts). Elvis Andrus also swiped 5 bags in the victory. Ben has 10 of the top 55 players over the last 30 days, but is surprisingly only 21-17 in the last month (.550). With James taking on Kurt and Alex playing Jarrett, the top four next Monday morning is anybody's guess. TJ has owned Ben this year, winning both match ups going away.

(season series TJ 14-5)

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