Monday, May 26, 2014

TMTW - May


Diamond Dynasty:  The month that was…
MAY

News

With a third of the season in the books, we had enough of a sample size to get a feel on the new roster regulations.  While there are some lingering issues on the table, the adjustments have seemed to go off without a hitch.  Also, Kurt really hates closers.

May also saw the first trade of the season as Richie shipped off then-Mets-closer du-jour Kyle Farnsworth to James for his 2015 22nd round pick.  A week later, Farnsworth was cut from the roster.  For James, it looked like just another sign that his 2014 campaign may be doomed.  Richie was able to nab a pick while clearing space for Doug Fister, who was coming off the DL.  Click here for more in-depth analysis on the trade.

Finally, the DD has started the ball rolling on a baseball trip later in the summer.  Potential targets are Baltimore, Washington D.C., Philadelphia, and either of the New York teams.  Richie is happy to host any and all who wish to attend.  Richie’s girlfriend is probably less happy, but still willing, to host any and all who wish to attend.

Standings Analysis

As expected, there was more consistency to the standings in the second month of the season.  Richie’s had pole position for 4 of the last 5 weeks (woo hoo!) thanks to a 7 week winning streak.  Richie, Alex, Ben, and Colin have musical-chaired the top four spots since week 4 and have a comfortable 7-game lead on the next tier of competitors.  James, TJ, and Adrian have been fighting over the middle positions nearly all season and May was no different as the 3 men of questionable sexuality are separated by only 1.5 games.  Jarrett and (am I really typing this?) Kurt sit 3 games behind them and are in 8th and 9th respectively, and Drew occupies 10th for the second week in a row.

Shutout Watch

In week 5, Ben narrowly missed cashing in against Drew in a 9-1 drubbing, but fell short by 10 strikeouts.  It was the second time this season Ben posted a 9-1 score (the first was in week 2), and the second week in a row that Drew was almost shut out (1-17-2 record in weeks 4 & 5).  We also had a really funky 4-2 game between Adrian (winner) and Colin.  I’m assuming that ties/sets a record for ties in a week?

Week 6 had one kind-of-sort-of-close shutout bid and one genuinely close shutout bid.  Richie beat Ben 7-3 (in a battle between 1st and 2nd) and most of the categories were close across the board.  In the end, Richie fell short of the shutout by 2 saves, less than half a run in ERA, and .19 points in batting average.  Not terribly close, but in the honorable mentions (though I suspect the writer of this article might be a bit biased).  The Gilette ® close shave of the week came from Alex’s 9-1 beat down of TJ.  Despite logging 96.2 innings, Alex could only muster 2 wins from his Staaf and lost the category 3-2.

In week 7, Richie posted a 9-1, wire to wire victory over Kurt.  Richie trailed by just one stolen base entering Sunday, but could not close the deal and lost by 2.  The 9 categories set a season-high for Richie, but the third time he’s lost 1 category or less in just 7 weeks.  He’s totally peaking too early. 

Week 8 had two close calls.  The first Colin’s 7-3 win over Drew – Colin fell short by 3 runs, 6 RBI’s, and 2 SB.  Alex went to work on Adrian and fell 2 RBI’s and 3 SB short of of the 10-0 victory.  With no cashouts in April or May, the pool continues to grow and would reach triple digits by June.

Battle for the Belt

 It looks like all James needed was something to play for!  After starting the year on a three-week losing streak, he had the Belt going into May.  He successfully defended it in week 5 against TJ, but could not stave off defeat for long.  Colin bettered him by .002 in average to take the 6-4 victory and made DD history by being the first person to regain possession of the WWE Belt after losing it earlier in the season.  Colin had it for a whole 7 days before Alex took it away with a 7-3 win.  Alex dominated Adrian last week and will hold the belt when the calendar turns to June.  He has James, Jarrett, Drew, and Richie in the next 4 weeks.  Belt owners are now just 3-5 in belt defenses this season.

2 Team Spotlight

This week:  Don't Judge A Team By Their Draft Picks

TJ – The Tank…is Half-Full

TJ had lots of keeper decisions to make for 2014 following his second-place finish last year, none more difficult than Matt Harvey.  But TJ made the difficult decision and went with the injured New York fireballer while passing on some 2014 standouts like Josh Donaldson, Ian Kinsler, and Albert Pujols.  TJ then shocked the league by trading away his first and second round picks to Drew, effectively raising the white flag on the season before first pitch.  But despite his attempts at tanking, TJ has managed to field a competitive roster thus far.  I denounced the trade when it happened and I’m sticking to it.  Imagine if he had those first two rounds back?  He’d probably be challenging for a top-3 position.  I still think it’s silly to give up on an entire year and $200 just because one keeper is out for the year, but obviously TJ has been able to make it work. 

With 5 of the top 21 home run hitters, TJ has built his team around the long ball.  His 102 team HRs lead the league by a wide margin and is responsible for almost 15 % of the league’s dingers thus far.  Unsurprisingly, he leads the league in RBIs too.  The rest of the offense is downright ugly (last in runs and stolen bases, 9th in average) which puts him 6th overall in roto offensively.  His keepers have been excellent – Freedie Freeman, Justin Upton, and Jose Bautista are all top-40 players.  Michael Morse has been damn solid in the CI spot and Nelson Cruz – the 189th player taken in the draft – is leading the league in home runs.  He’s had his share of injuries; Mark Trumbo, Jay Bruce, an Curtis Granderson have missed roughly 40% of the season. 

The pitching staff is above average, 3rd in wins and 5th in ERA and K’s.  His 6th place roto ranking is skewed due to his lack of closers and thus, lack of saves.  Mark Buehrle, Lester, Jesse Chavez, Garrett Richards, Wily Peralta are all ranked in the top 100.  Jon Lester and Michael Pineda could be keys to a second-half surge.  And if Matt Harvey is allowed to make 4 or 5 starts as the end of the year as he hopes, it could be just enough to spark a run to the playoffs.  On the whole, TJ’s team has its flaws but there should be enough in the tank to get to the playoffs.

Drew – What Difference does a Year Make?

He’s in last place despite holding 5 of the first 21 draft picks.  He’s made one FA pick-up since March 31st.  He has the least moves in the league.  He left Wilin Rosario in his starting lineup for his entire 15 day DL stint.  He left two healthy contributors in DL spots - Casey Janssen and RYAN BRAUN – for over a week.  He has Josh Johnson (Tommy John) occupying a DL spot.  And forget about managing his starters (As I type this, I’m watching Hyun-jin Ryu no-hit the Reds thruough7 and he’s on Drew’s bench).  Good job, good effort.

Roto Power Rankings

Offense
1. Colin (40)
2. Alex (38)
3. Richie (35)
4. James (33)
5. Jarrett (30)
6. Drew (24)
6. TJ (24)
8. Ben (20)
9. Adrian (18)
10. Kurt (13)
Defense
1. Richie (49)
2. Alex (41)
3. Ben (36)
4. Colin (32)
5. Drew (27)
6. TJ (24)
7. Adrian (19)
8. Kurt (18)
9. James (15)
10. Jarrett (14)
Overall
1. Richie (84)
2. Alex (79)
3. Colin (72)
4. Ben (56)
5. Drew (51)
6. TJ (48)
6. James (48)
8. Jarrett (44)
9. Adrian (37)
10. Kurt (31)

May’s All-Stars (as of Monday 5/26)

C – Y. Gomes (FA)
1B – E. Encarnacion (Ben)
2B – J. Altuve (Colin)
3B – M. Cabrera (Colin)
SS – T. Tulowitzki (James)
CI – V. Martinez (Alex)
MI – D. Gordon (James)
OF – Y. Puig (Alex)
OF – G. Stanton (Alex)
OF – B. Moss (Colin)
OF – N. Cruz (TJ)
UTIL – M. Brantley (Ben)

SP – A. Wainwright (Drew)
SP – D. Keuchel (Kurt)
SP – P. Hughes (TJ)
SP – J. Cueto (Adrian)
SP – R. Vogelsong (James)
RP – S. Romo (Richie)
RP – S. Cishek (Adrian)
P – J. Weaver (Kurt)
P – J. Teheran (Jarrett)
P – M. Tanaka (Richie)



Wednesday, May 7, 2014

1st trade means first trade analysis!


The first trade of the season is officially in the books. Richie traded Kyle Farnsworth to James late last night straight up for his 22nd round pick next year. I have taken a couple things from this trade so far…first of all, James is in desperate need of closers and will pretty much take anyone at this point, hence Kyle Farnsworth. Secondly, Richie might be trying to copy his strategy from this year of stocking up on draft picks so he can finally have a good team.  And if so, he’s getting a head start early, in case his team decides to lay an egg mid-season.

With 3 ½ closers already (Romo, Holland, K-Rod and Jim Johnson), Richie was looking to deal Farnsworth, and for good reason. I wouldn’t be surprised if in a few weeks he gets booted from the closer’s role, either if Valverde starts pitching well again or if by some miracle Dice-K fits there…or if he just realizes he’s Kyle Farnsworth. And that’s probably why Richie was looking to part ways with the ancient, Mormon (yes he is) Kyle Farnsworth.

All James is looking to get out of him is a little boost in saves to maybe steal a week or two from someone with injured closers, and for a 22nd pick, he might be able to get that.

Overall, both teams came away winners in this trade, with Richie essentially getting a free draft pick next year in a round that saw steals like Michael Brantly, Corey Kluber and Danny Haren, and James essentially getting a heavily discounted short-term temporary closer.